The Ravens have won eight straight games and have covered in five of their past six with the one setback for their backers occurring in last week’s 20-17 win but non-cover versus the 49ers.
Baltimore will visit Buffalo this afternoon where they will take on the league’s best money-makers on the season as the Bills’ 8-3-1 mark against the spread (ATS) tops all others.
Baltimore will be spotting its host six points for this one and that suits Buffalo just fine.
The Bills’ three failed covers this season have all happened when Buffalo was favoured. Nine times taking points have resulted in eight covers and a push.
It should be interesting as Baltimore’s MVP hopeful Lamar Jackson owns a 7-1-1 ATS road record that includes a 3-0-1 mark when favoured.
— November 30, 2008. That’s the most recent time the Patriots did not cover a home game when favoured between one and three points.
Not that they’ve been favoured by so few since then, but in five instances, the Pats hold a 4-0-1 ATS record when laying a field goal or less at Gillette, the previous time in 2017 vs. the Falcons.
New England is giving the Chiefs three points this afternoon and according to DonBest.com, the odds information provider for most sportsbooks worldwide, 66% of all bets placed on this marquee game are backing Kansas City.
Quite interesting considering that Bill Belichick’s crew has won 21 straight home games (next most in NFL is Minnesota with five) with a very profitable 16-5 mark vs. spread in those contests.
Perhaps Andy Reid’s 8-2 ATS record in his past 10 as an underdog has garnered support for K.C. combined with QB Patrick Mahomes’ 4-0-1 spread record as an underdog.
— The team with the worst pointspread record? That would be the Los Angeles Chargers, shameful owners of a 3-9 ATS mark.
Despite their futility, the Bolts are favoured by a field goal today when they take on the woeful Jaguars in Jacksonville. The Chargers are just as useless as a road favourite compiling an 0-3 ATS record in that role while also displaying ineptitude as a single-digit favourite when winning straight up just once in six tries while going 0-5-1 versus spread in those games.
Of course, the Jaguars are no bargain, having failed to cover in four straight and six of previous eight but Gardner Minshew returns to quarterback where the youngster is 5-3 ATS and 3-1 against spread when taking points.